Köln Sub 17 vs Arminia Bielefeld Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
8.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
COL
3 - 3
BDO
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
COL
3 - 0
RWE
77%
15%
9%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
S04
1 - 1
COL
29%
24%
46%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
COL
5 - 0
VFB
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
COL
3 - 2
DOT
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
PMU
2 - 1
ABI
39%
25%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ABI
2 - 2
RWE
47%
25%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SFT
0 - 1
ABI
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ABI
0 - 4
MON
17%
22%
61%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MSV
1 - 1
ABI
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |