Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-5
CD Colonia Moscardó vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Colonia Moscardó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
COL
1 - 0
OSA
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
COL
29%
33%
38%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1973 |
COL
2 - 0
CAD
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
COL
2 - 0
MIR
65%
22%
14%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
ALA
2 - 1
COL
56%
27%
17%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
RAC
2 - 0
MUR
51%
28%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
MUR
0 - 1
ELC
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1973 |
UDL
3 - 0
MUR
66%
22%
12%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
MUR
1 - 0
VCF
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
ATM
4 - 1
MUR
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |