CD Colonia Moscardó vs Real Madrid C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
15º
12º
23
10º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 77 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 64 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 61 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 61 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 59 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 52 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 46 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 39 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
30.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 23 |
17º
|
64% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 18 |
18º
|
74.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
51.5% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation
|
31% | 36% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Colonia Moscardó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ADA
1 - 1
COL
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
COL
1 - 1
SSR
22%
25%
53%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CPC
1 - 0
COL
71%
19%
10%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
COL
0 - 1
TAL
24%
25%
52%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
COL
1 - 3
GUA
21%
25%
55%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
RMA
3 - 1
CDM
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
GET
3 - 0
RMA
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
RMA
0 - 0
NAV
38%
28%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
COR
1 - 0
RMA
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ILL
0 - 1
RMA
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |