Copa del Rey 1/512
Global 7-3
CD Colonia Moscardó vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Colonia Moscardó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
COL
3 - 0
CPC
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
EXT
1 - 3
COL
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
COL
2 - 1
TAL
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
ATB
3 - 2
COL
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
COL
1 - 1
CDT
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
SFE
0 - 0
XER
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
POR
4 - 1
SFE
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
SFE
0 - 2
CAD
33%
26%
41%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
AGU
0 - 0
SFE
47%
24%
28%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
SFE
2 - 0
AFC
94%
5%
2%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |