Conmebol Sudamericana Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Colón vs Zulia FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
ZUL
1 - 0
COL
33%
27%
41%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
HUR
2 - 0
COL
45%
28%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
COL
0 - 1
PAT
51%
27%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
SLP
2 - 1
COL
10%
20%
69%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
ARG
0 - 1
COL
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Zulia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
ZUL
1 - 0
COL
33%
27%
41%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
TAC
2 - 0
ZUL
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
SPC
3 - 2
ZUL
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
ZUL
1 - 0
ZAM
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
ZUL
1 - 0
SPC
25%
24%
52%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |