Colón vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
24.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
NOB
0 - 1
COL
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
COL
0 - 0
VEL
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ALD
1 - 1
COL
44%
28%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
IND
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 1
COL
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 1
RAF
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
TEM
0 - 0
SAR
36%
30%
34%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 0
OLI
38%
29%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 1
SAR
62%
24%
15%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 1
TIG
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |