Colón vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2000 |
AND
0 - 1
COL
24%
24%
52%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
COL
4 - 2
TAL
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
IND
2 - 1
COL
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2000 |
COL
1 - 0
CEN
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
EST
2 - 0
COL
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
SLO
0 - 1
VEL
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2000 |
SLO
0 - 2
VAS
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
RIV
2 - 2
SLO
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
SLO
4 - 2
LAN
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2000 |
ATM
3 - 2
SLO
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |