Colón vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
14.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 1
COL
28%
29%
44%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
DEP
64%
23%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
RAF
0 - 0
COL
26%
27%
47%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
STM
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CFE
0 - 0
COL
26%
27%
47%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
1 - 0
ALM
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 0
CHI
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 1
SMA
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 0
QUI
41%
28%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
QUI
0 - 0
CHI
55%
26%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |