Colón vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
EST
2 - 2
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
COL
2 - 3
ALM
71%
19%
11%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2001 |
BEL
3 - 1
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
COL
1 - 1
RAC
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
NOB
1 - 3
COL
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
CHI
0 - 3
SLO
22%
24%
55%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1983 |
ARG
0 - 1
CHI
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
CHI
0 - 0
EST
35%
29%
35%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1983 |
CHI
3 - 1
RAC
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
RIV
1 - 2
CHI
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |