Colón vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
LAN
3 - 1
COL
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
COL
2 - 0
CEN
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
BOC
0 - 1
COL
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2005 |
COL
2 - 0
OLI
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
IND
1 - 1
COL
52%
24%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
INS
0 - 0
BAN
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2005 |
NOB
5 - 0
INS
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
INS
1 - 4
RIV
23%
25%
53%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2005 |
TFE
2 - 1
INS
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
INS
0 - 0
QUI
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |