Colón vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
ARG
1 - 0
COL
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
COL
2 - 2
RAF
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CAU
1 - 0
COL
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
COL
2 - 0
ALB
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
BOC
1 - 0
COL
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
IND
0 - 1
SLO
46%
28%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 0
IND
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
RIV
2 - 1
IND
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
EST
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 0
IND
45%
29%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |