Colón vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
RIV
3 - 2
COL
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
COL
1 - 2
CHA
59%
23%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
BOC
0 - 0
COL
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
COL
1 - 2
VEL
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
CEN
0 - 1
COL
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
EST
1 - 1
HUR
70%
19%
12%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
NOB
0 - 0
EST
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
EST
0 - 2
BAN
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
EST
1 - 1
CHI
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
RAF
3 - 1
EST
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |