Colón vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
ARS
2 - 0
COL
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 0
COL
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
COL
2 - 2
EST
36%
26%
37%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
HUR
1 - 1
COL
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
COL
2 - 2
IND
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
CCP
1 - 0
NAC
49%
27%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
CCP
1 - 0
PEÑ
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
AME
0 - 1
CCP
27%
29%
45%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
TAC
2 - 0
CCP
20%
26%
54%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CCP
4 - 0
LIB
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |