Colón vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
COL
0 - 2
OLI
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SLO
1 - 2
COL
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
COL
0 - 1
BOC
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 2
COL
38%
25%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
COL
0 - 4
RAC
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
CFC
0 - 3
VEL
22%
25%
53%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 0
NOB
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
VEL
43%
26%
32%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 2
VEL
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 0
ARS
57%
24%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |