Colón vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
COL
3 - 1
CEN
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
BAN
0 - 1
COL
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
COL
2 - 1
BOC
28%
25%
48%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
BEL
1 - 3
COL
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
LAN
3 - 0
COL
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
RIV
3 - 2
VEL
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
VEL
1 - 1
LAN
47%
27%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2007 |
VEL
2 - 1
CHI
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
GOD
0 - 2
VEL
30%
28%
43%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
VEL
0 - 0
GLP
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |