Colón vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
NOB
0 - 2
COL
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
COL
2 - 1
RAC
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
OLI
0 - 0
COL
33%
27%
39%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
COL
2 - 0
GLP
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
LAN
4 - 3
COL
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
VEL
0 - 1
EST
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
VEL
1 - 0
NOB
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
RAC
2 - 2
VEL
40%
28%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
VEL
0 - 1
OLI
70%
19%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
GLP
0 - 1
VEL
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |