Colón vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
BAN
2 - 1
COL
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
COL
1 - 3
BOC
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
CHI
1 - 0
COL
38%
26%
37%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
COL
3 - 0
EST
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
COL
0 - 0
CAU
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2002 |
VEL
1 - 0
SPC
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
VEL
2 - 1
SLO
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
BEL
2 - 1
VEL
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2002 |
VEL
2 - 2
NOB
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
IND
0 - 3
VEL
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |