Colón vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
50.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
HUR
1 - 1
COL
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1998 |
COL
0 - 0
ESP
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
FER
2 - 2
COL
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1998 |
COL
1 - 2
CEN
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1997 |
HUR
0 - 1
COL
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
ESP
1 - 4
RIV
14%
21%
65%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1998 |
RIV
2 - 1
FER
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
CEN
2 - 2
RIV
35%
25%
41%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1998 |
RIV
0 - 4
LAN
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1997 |
IND
3 - 1
RIV
36%
24%
41%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |