Colón vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
EST
1 - 3
COL
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
COL
2 - 0
GLP
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
GOD
1 - 3
COL
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2009 |
COL
0 - 0
RAC
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
TIG
2 - 1
COL
37%
27%
37%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2009 |
BOC
1 - 2
GLP
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
RAC
3 - 0
BOC
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
BOC
3 - 0
SMA
72%
17%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
VEL
2 - 0
BOC
40%
28%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
BOC
0 - 1
DEF
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |