Colón vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CAU
1 - 0
COL
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
COL
2 - 0
ALB
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
BOC
1 - 0
COL
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
COL
0 - 3
QUI
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
GOD
3 - 0
COL
33%
27%
41%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
RAF
0 - 0
SLO
51%
26%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
RIV
3 - 0
RAF
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
RAF
0 - 2
EST
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 0
RAF
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
RAF
2 - 1
SMA
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |