Colón vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
RAC
0 - 1
COL
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1998 |
COL
1 - 0
SPC
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1998 |
COL
3 - 3
GLP
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1998 |
COL
1 - 2
RIV
27%
23%
51%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
HUR
1 - 1
COL
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1998 |
ALI
1 - 1
RIV
10%
17%
73%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1998 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1997 |
GRE
2 - 0
ALI
89%
8%
3%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1997 |
CRZ
2 - 0
ALI
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |