Colón FC vs La Luz FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
29.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
14º
3º
29
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
UMO
0 - 1
COL
59%
25%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
COL
1 - 2
REN
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 1
COL
30%
29%
41%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
COL
4 - 2
TAC
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 2
COL
57%
26%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
La Luz FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LUZ
4 - 1
SUD
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 1
LUZ
33%
29%
38%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
UMO
1 - 0
LUZ
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 0
REN
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 0
LUZ
29%
28%
44%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |