Colón FC vs Juventud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
41.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
14º
5º
30
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 50 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 48 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 47 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 44 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 35 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 28 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 24 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 23 |
14º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 16% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
44.5% | 82% |
|
Mid-table
|
55% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
COL
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
COL
3 - 0
ALB
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
ATE
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 1
COL
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 1
COL
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 0
SUD
60%
24%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 1
JUV
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 1
UMO
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
REN
0 - 1
JUV
34%
29%
37%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
CSC
1 - 3
JUV
24%
28%
48%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |