Colón FC vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
5º
13º
11º
13
4º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
14 | 51 |
1º
|
48.5% | |
|
1º
|
18 | 49 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 44 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 38 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 37 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 35 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
13 | 35 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 34 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 33 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 32 |
10º
|
5.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
11 | 31 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 30 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 28 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 27 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
16.5% | 35% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 63% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
TOR
14%
23%
63%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 0
COL
63%
22%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ATE
0 - 0
COL
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
COL
2 - 2
SUD
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
PLA
26%
28%
46%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 2
SUD
49%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
LUZ
6 - 0
CSC
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 2
UMO
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
REN
0 - 1
CSC
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 0
CSC
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | -1 |