Colomiers vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colomiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 0
COL
65%
22%
13%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
COL
0 - 0
OLY
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
HYE
0 - 1
COL
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
COL
2 - 0
TAR
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
COL
34%
29%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
LEP
58%
21%
20%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
SAE
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 0
VAL
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
OLY
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
VAL
5 - 2
JUR
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |