Colomiers vs Balma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
12º
7º
28
6º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colomiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
COL
55%
23%
23%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
USJ
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 0
COL
34%
24%
43%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
COL
3 - 1
FBP
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
COL
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 1
USJ
31%
24%
46%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FBP
4 - 3
BAL
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
BEA
18%
21%
61%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ONE
1 - 1
BAL
52%
21%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 4
AGD
28%
26%
46%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |