AFC Cup Qualification Ronda Preliminar Final
Global 9-2
Colombo vs Transport United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
NAV
0 - 4
COL
22%
23%
55%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
COL
1 - 2
ARM
70%
17%
13%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
REN
1 - 1
COL
26%
23%
52%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
COL
4 - 4
JAV
87%
10%
4%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
COL
3 - 2
YOU
75%
16%
10%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Transport United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
TRU
4 - 3
UGY
19%
21%
60%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
TRU
0 - 1
PAR
68%
16%
16%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TRU
9 - 0
PFC
89%
7%
4%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
TRU
0 - 2
THC
40%
22%
38%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
THI
1 - 2
TRU
15%
17%
68%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |