Colombier vs Liestal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
60.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
COL
2 - 4
HER
20%
19%
61%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LAU
1 - 1
COL
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
COL
2 - 2
ALL
24%
21%
55%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MOU
4 - 0
COL
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
COL
2 - 1
POR
18%
21%
61%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LIE
0 - 2
FCW
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FCT
0 - 3
LIE
21%
21%
59%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LIE
4 - 3
LYS
49%
23%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
NEX
6 - 1
LIE
89%
9%
2%
|
21 | 69 | 48 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LIE
0 - 5
CON
12%
20%
68%
|
21 | 54 | 33 | 0 |