Colombier vs Grünstern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FAR
1 - 0
COL
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
COL
3 - 1
OST
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
THI
4 - 3
COL
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
TPA
1 - 2
COL
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
COL
1 - 2
LYS
59%
21%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Grünstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GRU
3 - 1
GUM
54%
22%
24%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BER
1 - 2
GRU
37%
23%
40%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
GRU
1 - 1
STA
50%
23%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BUL
4 - 0
GRU
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
GRU
1 - 0
BUM
31%
22%
48%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |