Colombier vs Lutry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LAU
0 - 2
COL
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
POR
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LYS
0 - 2
COL
70%
16%
14%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
COL
2 - 0
DUR
59%
20%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
SEC
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FCL
3 - 2
TPA
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LER
4 - 3
FCL
49%
23%
29%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
LAU
3 - 0
FCL
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 5
POR
62%
20%
19%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LYS
1 - 2
FCL
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |