Colombier vs Concordia Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
72.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LIE
0 - 4
COL
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
COL
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ALL
2 - 2
COL
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
COL
0 - 4
MOU
22%
21%
58%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
COL
3 - 2
BAS
18%
21%
61%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CON
6 - 0
FCW
89%
8%
3%
|
53 | 15 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
CON
0 - 2
FCC
88%
8%
3%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FCT
0 - 2
CON
10%
16%
74%
|
53 | 12 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CON
4 - 1
LYS
87%
9%
4%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
FCT
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |