Colombia U23 vs Ecuador U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
COL
1 - 2
ARG
33%
25%
42%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 2
COL
35%
23%
42%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
JPN
0 - 2
COL
51%
22%
27%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
PER
1 - 0
COL
19%
19%
62%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
PER
0 - 3
COL
23%
20%
57%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Ecuador U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ECU
0 - 3
CHI
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |