Colombia U20 vs Paraguay U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PER
0 - 1
COL
18%
23%
60%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
URU
30%
24%
46%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
COL
2 - 1
ECU
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
ARG
3 - 2
COL
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
URU
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
ECU
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
PER
1 - 1
PAR
11%
19%
70%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 3
PAR
36%
24%
40%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2013 |
PAR
5 - 1
BOL
81%
14%
6%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |