Colombia U20 vs Brazil U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
COL
1 - 1
ECU
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
ARG
2 - 0
COL
69%
20%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
URU
0 - 0
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
BOL
3 - 3
COL
17%
21%
62%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
COL
5 - 0
PER
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
BRA
4 - 2
PAR
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRA
24%
26%
51%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 0
COL
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 3
MEX
86%
10%
4%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2010 |
URU
1 - 1
BRA
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |