Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-1
Colo-Colo vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
UNI
0 - 0
COL
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1991 |
LIG
0 - 0
COL
52%
27%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1991 |
BSC
2 - 2
COL
49%
27%
23%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1991 |
COL
3 - 0
LIG
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1991 |
COL
2 - 0
CON
79%
13%
8%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
UNI
0 - 0
COL
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1991 |
CCP
0 - 0
UNI
51%
27%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1991 |
CAC
2 - 0
UNI
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1991 |
UNI
1 - 1
CCP
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1991 |
UNI
0 - 0
CAC
67%
18%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |