Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 1-1
Colo-Colo vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
COL
1 - 0
ANT
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
HUA
1 - 1
COL
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
COL
3 - 2
OHI
58%
23%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
COQ
2 - 0
COL
16%
23%
61%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
UCE
0 - 1
COL
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
CUE
1 - 2
UCE
28%
26%
47%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
UCE
1 - 0
RIV
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
IVT
2 - 1
UCE
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
UCE
3 - 1
NAC
53%
23%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
UCE
0 - 1
COL
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -2 |