Colo-Colo vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
COL
3 - 1
ULC
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CSL
2 - 2
COL
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
COL
1 - 0
OHI
57%
22%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
COL
0 - 0
IQU
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
COB
1 - 2
COL
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
CSL
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ANT
2 - 1
UCO
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
ACS
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ULC
1 - 1
UCO
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 2
UNI
38%
26%
35%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |