Colo-Colo vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
15.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1988 |
TAC
0 - 1
COL
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1988 |
MAR
0 - 1
COL
11%
21%
68%
|
75 | 27 | 48 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1988 |
UCO
1 - 0
COL
49%
23%
29%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1987 |
COL
2 - 2
SAO
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1987 |
COL
2 - 0
GUA
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1988 |
MAR
0 - 0
UCO
11%
20%
69%
|
73 | 26 | 47 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1988 |
TAC
0 - 1
UCO
39%
24%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1988 |
UCO
1 - 0
COL
49%
23%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1986 |
UCO
1 - 3
AME
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1986 |
UCO
1 - 3
CAL
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |