Conmebol Sudamericana Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Colo-Colo vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
COL
2 - 3
ACS
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
UCO
0 - 1
COL
46%
24%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
COL
4 - 4
DLS
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
COL
4 - 2
UCH
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2006 |
GLP
0 - 2
COL
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2006 |
QRO
1 - 0
TOL
32%
27%
40%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
MON
2 - 1
TOL
46%
26%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 1
CAZ
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 0
SLO
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
PAC
3 - 1
TOL
47%
27%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |