Colo-Colo vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
10º
2º
31
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 62 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 56 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 50 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 47 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 46 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 45 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 44 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 41 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 37 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 35 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 33 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 32 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 29 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 27 |
16º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
78% | 0.5% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
4.5% | 21% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 78.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
EVE
0 - 1
COL
40%
28%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
JUN
1 - 2
COL
55%
23%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
COL
2 - 0
COQ
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
JUN
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UCH
0 - 0
COL
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
NUB
0 - 0
UNI
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
NUB
1 - 1
EVE
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DCO
0 - 1
NUB
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ACS
0 - 1
NUB
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
NUB
1 - 2
UCO
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |