Copa Chile 1/16
Global 2-3
Colo-Colo vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
NUB
2 - 0
COL
15%
21%
64%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2018 |
COL
0 - 2
ULC
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
COL
51%
23%
25%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
UNI
3 - 2
COL
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
COL
2 - 0
BOL
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
NUB
2 - 0
COL
15%
21%
64%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
NUB
2 - 1
MAG
49%
26%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
DCO
2 - 1
NUB
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
NUB
5 - 0
COB
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 2
NUB
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |