Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 4-3
Colo-Colo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1997 |
NAC
1 - 3
COL
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1997 |
MIN
1 - 2
COL
26%
29%
45%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1997 |
MIN
1 - 4
COL
40%
29%
31%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
COL
2 - 0
UCO
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1997 |
COL
1 - 0
MIN
88%
9%
2%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1997 |
NAC
1 - 3
COL
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1997 |
NAC
1 - 1
CAL
47%
28%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1997 |
MIL
2 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1997 |
CAL
0 - 1
NAC
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1997 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |