Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Colo-Colo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1991 |
COL
2 - 1
UNI
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
UNI
0 - 0
COL
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1991 |
LIG
0 - 0
COL
52%
27%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1991 |
BSC
2 - 2
COL
49%
27%
23%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1991 |
COL
3 - 0
LIG
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1991 |
BOL
1 - 1
NAC
38%
26%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
NAC
4 - 1
BOL
67%
20%
14%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1991 |
COR
0 - 0
NAC
43%
29%
28%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1991 |
FLA
4 - 0
NAC
47%
28%
26%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1991 |
BVS
0 - 3
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |