Copa Libertadores Final
Global 2-3
Colo-Colo vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1973 |
IND
1 - 1
COL
75%
14%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1973 |
COL
3 - 3
BOT
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1973 |
COL
4 - 0
CCP
57%
20%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1973 |
CCP
5 - 1
COL
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1973 |
BOT
1 - 2
COL
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1973 |
RIV
2 - 2
IND
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1973 |
IND
1 - 1
COL
75%
14%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
IND
1 - 2
HUR
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
EST
1 - 2
IND
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1973 |
IND
1 - 0
SLO
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |