Libertadores Supercup Last 16
Global 4-9
Colo-Colo vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
21.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1993 |
CRZ
6 - 1
COL
58%
25%
17%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
OLI
1 - 0
COL
56%
27%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1992 |
COL
1 - 0
OLI
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1992 |
BSC
2 - 0
COL
43%
25%
31%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1992 |
COL
1 - 0
BSC
74%
16%
11%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1993 |
CRZ
3 - 0
BOT
52%
27%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
BRA
1 - 0
CRZ
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1993 |
CRZ
6 - 1
COL
58%
25%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
SCI
3 - 0
CRZ
43%
30%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1993 |
CRZ
0 - 0
SAO
49%
28%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |