Colo-Colo vs Coquimbo Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
10º
2º
37
1º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 62 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 56 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 50 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 47 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 46 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 45 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 44 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 41 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 37 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 35 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 33 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 32 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 29 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 27 |
16º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
78% | 10.5% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
4.5% | 63.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 26% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
JUN
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UCH
0 - 0
COL
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
OHI
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
UNI
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
DSC
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Coquimbo Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
COQ
1 - 2
IQU
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
COQ
2 - 2
UNI
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DCO
3 - 0
COQ
34%
27%
40%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
COQ
1 - 0
NUB
41%
28%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CSL
1 - 0
COQ
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |