Colo-Colo vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
22.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1967 |
UCO
5 - 2
COL
58%
21%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1964 |
NAC
4 - 2
COL
66%
18%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 1964 |
COL
2 - 4
NAC
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1964 |
COL
0 - 4
BSC
73%
15%
13%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
MIR
1 - 2
COL
41%
21%
38%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1967 |
BSC
1 - 2
CCP
58%
21%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
EME
2 - 1
CCP
57%
21%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
CCP
1 - 0
GUA
61%
20%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
CCP
7 - 0
AUR
76%
14%
11%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
NAC
2 - 0
CCP
74%
15%
12%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |