Colo-Colo vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
UNI
0 - 0
COL
49%
21%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1973 |
EME
1 - 0
COL
48%
22%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 1
COL
52%
21%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1973 |
COL
5 - 0
UNI
61%
19%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1971 |
UNI
1 - 1
COL
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1973 |
UNI
2 - 1
NAC
51%
22%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 0
EME
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 0
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 1
COL
52%
21%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
EME
2 - 0
NAC
51%
22%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |