Colo-Colo vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
COL
4 - 2
CSL
74%
17%
10%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
COQ
0 - 3
COL
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
COL
4 - 0
CON
73%
17%
11%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
CDM
1 - 2
COL
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
ACS
2 - 3
COL
36%
24%
40%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
NOB
1 - 2
RIV
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
RIV
1 - 0
LAN
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
VEL
1 - 1
RIV
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
RIV
1 - 2
CHI
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
GOD
0 - 1
RIV
15%
22%
63%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |