Colo Colo BA vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
62.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo Colo BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
FLU
2 - 3
COL
50%
25%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
COL
0 - 2
CFC
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
IPI
1 - 3
COL
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
COL
2 - 0
FEI
40%
26%
35%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SER
1 - 0
COL
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
VIT
4 - 2
JUA
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 39 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 1
VIT
18%
24%
58%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 0
BAH
82%
13%
5%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 0
BOT
79%
15%
7%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
BAH
2 - 0
VIT
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |